It’s ambitious, I know, but if you don’t have a goal in mind, how are you ever to reach it?
It might seem mad in this particular investing environment to be planning on retiring early, but I think it’s a completely achievable goal. I sat down and figured out what I need to do, now I just need to do it. And everyone reading this gets to follow along.
THE GOAL
Full retirement at 55. By full retirement, I mean having the means to support myself independently and comfortably without relying on the Canada Pension Plan or Old Age Security until age 65. I am currently 35, so I have a 20 year time horizon, something I feel is perfectly achievable.
THE BACKGROUND
I’m a single father with 2 boys and a good job. I have little debt to speak of, after a separation that caused a huge hit to my retirement savings and also to my personal finances. The boys spend most of their time with me, except when I’m at work when they are with their mother, so while I have some hefty financial obligations with raising children, there’s no alimony (we were common law) and costs for raising the kids are shared fairly. I’m average in that respect. I’m solid middle class on my own, and have no shame in admitting that if I had a working partner, we’d be upper class.
THE PLAN
I have several current investments through work and my old job, which grandfathered a rather generous RRSP plan (no annual fees for maintenance, no cost whatsoever for transactions). This has given me a solid foundation on which to build my plans. I am by no means close to where I had wanted to be at Age 35 with my savings due to my separation, but I think this is an excellent way for me to demonstrate how even starting late, you can still retire early. They will be detailed below, but here is the ‘Four Point Plan’
1) Dividend Base. I plan on investing heavily in the next few years in boring but solid companies that pay regular dividends. Some people refer to these types of stocks as ‘Widow & Orphan’ stocks. They don’t have massive price swings, but they steady income they provide is relatively reliable as a source of income. Why now? Historically speaking, good, solid, dividend paying companies are getting beaten up along with companies that aren’t so solid. Over the next two years, these stocks are going to be cheaper than they have been in the past, and most are still paying out the same dividends as before with the same annual increases.
2) Early Pension. I have a job with a defined pension plan. It’s a relative rarity in this day and age, but I’m glad to have it and plan to take full advantage of it. I could even retire under it today, although I don’t think the paltry amount it would pay out for the rest of my life as a result would buy more than a six pack of soda a month. On top of the dividends, the pension plan will give me a good solid base on which to provide me with retirement funds.
3) RRSP contributions. Regardless of your situation, you should be contributing to an RRSP. Whether you plan on retiring early, late or never, a plan for RRSP contributions is critical. I don’t plan on drawing down from my RRSPs until I hit 65 though, which is where point 4 comes in.
4) Stock investing. Between Age 55 and 65, I don’t want to touch my RRSPs. That means I need a cushion until those benefits kick in to supplement my income from my Pension and Dividend Base. My company has a stock plan and I fully intend on participating in it as long as they keep matching contributions (currently the match is a generous 40%. If I buy $100 of stock, the company contributes $40 to purchase as well). However, on top of that I plan to keep at least 10% of my planned retirement funds in various stocks.
WHY?
So, what’s the purpose of this blog?
It’s not just for myself to keep track of how close I am to my goals, but also so people can see how it’s possible to retire early without breaking the bank. I am not wealthy. I have a good job, with good benefits, and little debt, so I’m in a situation where I can demonstrate how an average person can really make a good retirement for themselves, and maybe even do it earlier than they thought they could.
Every month, I plan on showing you where I sit with my retirement plans. It will take the form of the following:
Holdings
This will be a disclosure of my current retirement holdings and any changes, contributions, withdrawls (hey, who knows, emergencies happen).
Estimated Monthly Income
This is based on if I were to retire today. Obviously, the amount is going to be a lot less than I’d like it or need it to be if I were to, say, retire today. However, it will give a good idea of how my monthly retirement income is growing over time. For now, it’ll include only Dividends and Pension payments, since that’s all that would be all that I’d receive on a monthly basis from my retirement funds.
In the end, my goal is fairly modest, but should provide for a comfortable retirement. I would like to see my Pension and Dividends providing about $4500 a month, with Stock holdings capable of providing another $5500 a month until I hit 65. At 65, I can then start drawing down on my RRSP holdings. Ultimately, I want to see $10000 a month at 55. It sounds like a lot, but remember, we’re also looking at 20 years of inflation between now and then. $10000 in 2028 is going to be a lot less than $10000 today.
To reach those Stock numbers, I’ll need at least $1.2 million in stock holdings in 20 years. My pension will need to be paying out at least $2000 a month, and my Dividends providing another $2500 a month. I think this is a realistic, obtainable goal.
Let’s see how it goes.
(This post will always be the first one, at least until I leave LJ, or Retire, whichever comes first)
- Mood:
chipper
I apologize as I truly had intended to keep this going in Livejournal, but with the changes I'm making to how I track things and where it fits in my life, I don't think it's going to be possible to keep up here while embarking on my new project.
If you're interested in my new project, please respond and let me know if this journey in Livejournal has been interesting and worthwhile.
This may result in some result modifications, which is fine, I'm more upset over the fact that it's necessary to do this than anything else, as it turns out it's impacted a lot of my YTD results negatively.
It's a learning process though, so not unhappy to be going through it.
The biggest problem with MS Money is that when you sell something out completely, it eliminates it from calculations, which is not an accurate representation of what has taken place. My gains are showing up lower than they actually are, since when I sell Methanex, or GE, or Galleon at a profit, those profits disappear from my calculations.
I've created an Excel Spreadsheet that takes this into effect.
The downside is, calculations will have been from November of last year. I haven't figured out yet how to annualize the results. As a result, I just have a total percentage gain listed. I'll continue working on it, but what I will present this weekend will be a far more accurate picture of gains/losses.
Another 'bug' I'm working out is that to keep things consistent, I've had to input things as if I'd paid the $19.99 fee that was waived for 100 of my trades.
On the minus side, that makes my purchase cost on my stocks significantly higher than the actual cost. On the plus side, it errs on the side of caution. As a consequence, some small profit trades (like Dr Reddy's) look like a loss when they were actually a gain. Likewise with Huntsman.
However, that's not a bad thing. Had I been paying those fees, it gives a good idea of what the results would have been for the same type of trade.
Until I can figure out a way to work out those minor bugs, tomorrow's report will be the new format going forward.
With two more pay periods and TELUS shares, I think I may be able to come close to $950, which will put me in a very good position to meet next years goal. $900 also marks the point where my dividends alone can contribute to the purchase of more stocks and units, especially now that my free purchase period for share through my online broker has expired.
I've also hit a net asset value of over $20000 for the year as well, which is better than I'd expected.
Definitely happy with how things are turning out so far, but still lots of risk in the market. I think it's still possible for things to turn around for the worse, but time will tell.
As well, I'm looking into completely selling off my GE holdings. It's not the result of any kind of concern I have over GE itself, I just feel with the runup in the price lately, as well as the current state of the US dollar (as well as the fact EnCana and Cenovus will be paying US denominated dividends) that I would be better off with that money elsewhere.
I haven't finalized plans, that will take place tomorrow, but I'll know shortly.
As well, apologies for no weekly update last week, but I was out of town. I contemplated do a month end, but I think first week of December will suffice.
This increases my annualized dividend yield by $20, so no complaints there. Methanex was a great buy in the end:
Total Purchase Price: $416.80
Total Dividends: $17.09
Total Sold: $757.90
Total Gain over Purchase Cost: $358.19
As an EnCana shareholder, I will be receiving 25 shares of Cenovus when the split is finalized. Both sets of shares are expected to offer an equivalent dividend to what the combined company paid out. However, as two seperate entitites, I think it may be entirely possible to see dividend increases from Cenovus within a short period of time.
Full report is here.
I'm in agreement with most of it, and see some tremendous upside potential. My only regret is that I didn't have more to invest in it, and that I bought in at a pre split peak. Still, well worth the investment.
As such, I'll likely be selling off my position in Methanex and putting the proceeds into Capital Power. Methanex has had an incredible runup, and as its no longer an attractive purchase price for the dividend yield, I don't see myself adding to my holdings in it. The incredible gain I made on Methanex can go to Capital Power, which is still in a price range I'm comfortable buying in, and it will boost up my annualized dividend by $10. Not spectacular, but again its a gain that comes purely as a result of the increase stock value over time, as opposed to my putting new money into it.
| Dividend Stocks | Shares | Value | YTD | Annualized | 2009 Goal |
| TELUS | 64.612 | $2381.82 | -3.3% | -13.6% | +10.0% |
| General Electric | 75 | US $1169.25 | +10.4% | +17.2% | +10.0% |
| Enbridge Income Fund | 115 | $1370.80 | +12.9% | +24.0% | +10.0% |
| Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT | 135 | $837.00 | +24.9% | +113.1% | +4.0% |
| Pengrowth Energy Trust | 145 | $1477.55 | +24.0% | +54.3% | +10.0% |
| Methanex Corp | 25 | $470.50 | +85.0% | +190.4% | +5.0% |
| Rogers Sugar Income Fund | 200 | $840.00 | +9.1% | +36.0% | +5.0% |
| CML Healthcare Income Fund | 80 | $1100.00 | +4.7% | +16.0% | +5.0% |
| Royal Host REIT | 25 | $61.50 | -15.7% | -34.3% | +5.0% |
| Tim Horton's Inc | 8 | $249.68 | +8.7% | +25.0% | +2.5% |
| Capital Power Inc | 40 | $796.00 | +1.2% | +7.3% | +5.0% |
| Innophos Holdings | 30 | US $726.90 | +20.0% | +211.9% | +2.5% |
| EnCana | 25 | $1410.00 | -12.7% | +1.0% | |
| Verizon | 10 | US $304.30 | +2.2% | +0.5% | |
| Regular Stocks | |||||
| Potash One | 120 | $327.60 | -6.8% | -32.4% | +5.0% |
| Western Potash | 500 | $227.50 | -18.0% | -67.4% | +5.0% |
| Cangene | 25 | $143.50 | -3.9% | +0.0% | |
| Southern Pacific Resources | 200 | $156.00 | +52.9% | +1.0% | |
| RRSPs | |||||
| TELUS | 41.174 | $1427.08 | -7.1% | -19.3% | +10.0% |
| Balanced Invesco Trimark | 23.833 | $373.28 | +8.7% | +3.4% | +8.0% |
| Bond SLI | 0.989 | $323.24 | +4.5% | +5.8% | 0.0% |
| Canadian Equity SLI | 0.614 | $387.68 | +10.9% | +5.7% | +6.0% |
| Emerging Markets Schroders | 29.952 | $371.57 | +26.7% | +21.4% | +5.0% |
| Global Equity Templeton | 10.405 | $369.92 | +11.6% | +3.3% | +5.0% |
| Money Market SLI | 1.213 | $120.23 | -0.1% | +0.2% | +2.0% |
| Global Asset Allocation Fidelity | 22.641 | $224.12 | +2.0% | +16.6% | +2.0% |
| ING Streetwise Balanced Growth | 162.080 | $1484.65 | +27.4% | +43.6% | +4.0% |
| Cash | $147.22 | ||||
| Total | $19417.53 | +5.6% | +1.2% | +6.0% |
Dividend & Pension Payouts with current holdings
| Currency | Total |
| Can$ | $725.53 |
| US$ | $88.10 |
| Pension | $2181.96 |
Total Annual Payout Estimate: $2907.45 Can/$79.10 US
Definitely something to fit in should my budget allow for it over the next few weeks.
| Dividend Stocks | Shares | Value | YTD | Annualized | 2009 Goal |
| TELUS | 58.385 | $2119.90 | -5.0% | -17.1% | +10.0% |
| General Electric | 75 | US $1174.50 | +10.1% | +17.0% | +10.0% |
| Enbridge Income Fund | 115 | $1331.70 | +10.4% | +20.1% | +10.0% |
| Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT | 135 | $787.05 | +18.9% | +101.7% | +4.0% |
| Pengrowth Energy Trust | 145 | $1487.70 | +24.0% | +57.2% | +10.0% |
| Methanex Corp | 25 | $473.75 | +85.8% | +198.9% | +5.0% |
| Rogers Sugar Income Fund | 200 | $814.00 | +5.8% | +24.2% | +5.0% |
| CML Healthcare Income Fund | 80 | $1094.40 | +4.2% | +15.3% | +5.0% |
| Royal Host REIT | 25 | $62.50 | -15.3% | -34.8% | +5.0% |
| Tim Horton's Inc | 8 | $250.00 | +8.8% | +27.1% | +2.5% |
| Capital Power Inc | 40 | $776.00 | -1.3% | -8.9% | +5.0% |
| Innophos Holdings | 30 | US $706.80 | +15.6% | +185.4% | +2.5% |
| EnCana | 25 | $1460.25 | -9.6% | +1.0% | |
| Verizon | 10 | US $301.30 | +0.3% | +0.5% | |
| Regular Stocks | |||||
| Potash One | 120 | $309.60 | -11.9% | -55.7% | +5.0% |
| Western Potash | 500 | $225.00 | -18.9% | -74.3% | +5.0% |
| Cangene | 25 | $144.00 | -3.5% | +0.0% | |
| Southern Pacific Resources | 200 | $150.00 | +47.1% | +1.0% | |
| RRSPs | |||||
| TELUS | 41.174 | $1350.91 | -10.0% | -21.0% | +10.0% |
| Balanced Invesco Trimark | 23.833 | $372.40 | +8.4% | +3.3% | +8.0% |
| Bond SLI | 0.989 | $321.69 | +4.0% | +5.4% | 0.0% |
| Canadian Equity SLI | 0.614 | $382.33 | +9.4% | +4.4% | +6.0% |
| Emerging Markets Schroders | 29.952 | $364.43 | +24.3% | +19.6% | +5.0% |
| Global Equity Templeton | 10.405 | $368.26 | +11.1% | +3.0% | +5.0% |
| Money Market SLI | 1.213 | $120.25 | -0.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| Global Asset Allocation Fidelity | 22.641 | $221.75 | +0.9% | +2.0% | |
| ING Streetwise Balanced Growth | 162.080 | $1471.69 | +26.3% | +43.5% | +4.0% |
| Cash | $130.36 | ||||
| Total | $18888.41 | +4.1% | -0.9% | +6.0% |
Dividend & Pension Payouts with current holdings
| Currency | Total |
| Can$ | $725.53 |
| US$ | $88.10 |
| Pension | $2181.96 |
Total Annual Payout Estimate: $2907.45 Can/$79.10 US
It also has improved my Dividend results for the year, as GE's dividend ratio has been sitting around 2.5% since their recent stock price runup, while Verizon's is over 6%. In addition. Verizon will be rolling out LTE in limited areas in 2010, which will put them at a significant advantage over AT&T in those markets.
While I like my Canadian telecom holding, the simple fact is Verizon has many more customers, much more growth opportunity, and higher potential dividend improvements over time.
I also like the fact it's one of the larger improvements in my dividend yield I've been able to pull off at no net new cash input. I've used the profit made on GE's stock improvement this year to buy shares of Verizon, improving my annualized dividend yield by about $10 while getting a little more diversified without needing to add any new cash.
Originally, I'd targeted the following as my goals for dividends over the next 5 years:
2009: $1000 annual in dividends
2010: $2000 annual in dividends
2011: $3200 annual in dividends
2012: $4500 annual in dividends
2013: $5800 annual in dividends
I'm amending it slightly, to the following:
2009: $900 annual in dividends
2010: $1800 annual in dividends
2011: $3000 annual in dividends
2012: $4400 annual in dividends
2013: $5800 annual in dividends
As you can see, the end goal in 5 years remains the same, but I'm somewhat slowing down the aggressive goals for the first few years.
Had I not experienced the dividend cuts and lack of dividend growth this year, I think I could have probably increased my goals for over the next 5 years, but I want to remain realistic without putting myself into an untenable financial situation.
Given that I'm already at about $800 in annual dividends with 2 months to go, $1000 might still be achievable, but I'm not going to stretch to reach it right now.
The market overall has weakened a bit, which I think was to be expected. I'm still looking fairly good to meet most of my targets for the end of the year and I'm hoping it stays that way.
And finally, I've officially been at this for a year! It hardly seems like it, but I'm happy with where things are going from here, I have to admit.
| Dividend Stocks | Shares | Value | YTD | Annualized | 2009 Goal |
| TELUS | 58.385 | $2171.03 | -4.4% | -15.9% | +10.0% |
| General Electric | 100 | US $1533.00 | +9.9% | +17.5% | +10.0% |
| Enbridge Income Fund | 115 | $1362.75 | +11.7% | +23.2% | +10.0% |
| Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT | 135 | $797.85 | +20.0% | +108.1% | +4.0% |
| Pengrowth Energy Trust | 145 | $1487.70 | +24.0% | +60.4% | +10.0% |
| Methanex Corp | 25 | $462.50 | +83.1% | +198.9% | +5.0% |
| Rogers Sugar Income Fund | 200 | $806.00 | +4.8% | +21.7% | +5.0% |
| CML Healthcare Income Fund | 80 | $1106.40 | +5.3% | +21.2% | +5.0% |
| Royal Host REIT | 25 | $62.50 | -15.3% | -36.4% | +5.0% |
| Tim Horton's Inc | 8 | $245.20 | +6.8% | +21.9% | +2.5% |
| Capital Power Inc | 40 | $764.00 | -2.9% | -21.2% | +5.0% |
| Innophos Holdings | 30 | US $626.10 | +3.5% | +35.3% | +2.5% |
| EnCana | 25 | $1528.00 | -5.4% | +1.0% | |
| Regular Stocks | |||||
| Potash One | 120 | $303.60 | -13.7% | -66.8% | +5.0% |
| Western Potash | 500 | $230.00 | -17.1% | -76.3% | +5.0% |
| Cangene | 25 | $148.75 | -0.3% | +0.0% | |
| Southern Pacific Resources | 200 | $122.00 | +19.6% | +1.0% | |
| RRSPs | |||||
| TELUS | 41.174 | $1383.85 | -8.7% | -20.5% | +10.0% |
| Balanced Invesco Trimark | 23.833 | $368.98 | +7.4% | +2.5% | +8.0% |
| Bond SLI | 0.989 | $320.71 | +3.7% | +5.2% | 0.0% |
| Canadian Equity SLI | 0.614 | $376.31 | +7.6% | +2.9% | +6.0% |
| Emerging Markets Schroders | 29.952 | $361.74 | +23.3% | +19.2% | +5.0% |
| Global Equity Templeton | 10.405 | $368.36 | +11.1% | +3.0% | +5.0% |
| Money Market SLI | 1.213 | $120.29 | -0.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| Global Asset Allocation Fidelity | 22.641 | $222.81 | +1.4% | +2.0% | |
| ING Streetwise Balanced Growth | 162.080 | $1450.62 | +24.5% | +42.0% | +4.0% |
| Cash | $77.56 | ||||
| Total | $18947.87 | +4.2% | -0.8% | +6.0% |
Dividend & Pension Payouts with current holdings
| Currency | Total |
| Can$ | $713.70 |
| US$ | $79.10 |
| Pension | $2181.96 |
Total Annual Payout Estimate: $2895.66 Can/$79.10 US
Southern Pacific closed the purchase of the Senlac SAGD oil facility. Immediate bump of 7% and definitely bodes well for their future. It's an immediate confirmation of positive cash flow which will allow them to pursue the implementation of new facilities. Full details here
Innophos saw over a 12% increase based on their 3rd Quarter earnings.
Enbridge Income Fund announced their 3rd Quarter results, which can be found here. While they were pretty much as expected, it looks like they will be converting over to a corporate structure to avoid the SIFT tax the Harper Regime imposed on Income Trusts. The news immediately resulted in a 9% drop. I'm less inclined to view it as a reason to sell since most of my purchases of Enbridge were at a lower price point than what they've managed to return to, and it may even be an opportunity to pick up more. Still, that definitely muted my otherwise excellent results for the day.
Innophos didn't just beat 3rd quarter expectations. They destroyed them. Analyst consensus was on earnings of .38 per share in the 3rd quarter.
Innophos had earnings of .69 per share in the 3rd quarter. Normally, a 'good' beat on consensus is 4 or 5 cents. This was a beat of 31 cents. Combined with a positive 4th quarter outlook, I think the only bad news is that I don't have more shares of Innophos and didn't have the time or resources to pick up more when the Canadian dollar was peaking. Full news story here.
Still, I think I can expect some frothy movement tomorrow. What I'd really like to hear though is that they are raising their dividend.
- Mood:
cheerful
Pretty harsh week for the markets, and I think it's the simple recognition that not being in a disaster does not mean things are going well. As I've said a few times, I'm not 100% confident this is what we could term a recovery, and that I think a double dip recession is still a possibility. We'll see over the next few months, but while my portfolio is taking a bit of a beating, it's hardly being shattered. I'm comfortable with where things are sitting, particularily with the dividends that are building up and rolling in.
| Dividend Stocks | Shares | Value | YTD | Annualized | 2009 Goal |
| TELUS | 58.385 | $1984.51 | -4.1% | -15.5% | +10.0% |
| General Electric | 100 | US $1426.00 | +2.6% | +0.4% | +10.0% |
| Enbridge Income Fund | 115 | $1534.10 | +22.8% | +45.6% | +10.0% |
| Chartwell Seniors Housing REIT | 135 | $808.65 | +21.2% | +114.0% | +4.0% |
| Pengrowth Energy Trust | 145 | $1487.70 | +24.0% | +63.0% | +10.0% |
| Methanex Corp | 25 | $466.50 | +84.1% | +207.0% | +5.0% |
| Rogers Sugar Income Fund | 200 | $830.00 | +7.9% | +39.7% | +5.0% |
| CML Healthcare Income Fund | 80 | $1070.40 | +2.0% | +80% | +5.0% |
| Royal Host REIT | 25 | $60.50 | -17.8% | -42.9% | +5.0% |
| Tim Horton's Inc | 8 | $247.76 | +39.7% | +2.5% | |
| Capital Power Inc | 20 | $387.40 | -4.2% | -17.9% | +5.0% |
| Innophos Holdings | 30 | US $580.50 | -3.8% | -32.9% | +2.5% |
| EnCana | 25 | $1500.00 | -7.1% | +1.0% | |
| Regular Stocks | |||||
| Potash One | 120 | $300.00 | -14.7% | -75.7% | +5.0% |
| Western Potash | 500 | $235.00 | -15.3% | -76.3% | +5.0% |
| Cangene | 25 | $145.50 | -2.5% | +0.0% | |
| Southern Pacific Resources | 200 | $108.00 | +5.9% | +1.0% | |
| RRSPs | |||||
| TELUS | 41.174 | $1399.50 | -8.1% | -20.3% | +10.0% |
| Balanced Invesco Trimark | 23.833 | $363.09 | +5.7% | +1.1% | +8.0% |
| Bond SLI | 0.989 | $322.11 | +4.1% | +5.8% | 0.0% |
| Canadian Equity SLI | 0.614 | $364.79 | +4.4% | -0.2% | +6.0% |
| Emerging Markets Schroders | 29.952 | $355.28 | +21.1% | +17.4% | +5.0% |
| Global Equity Templeton | 10.405 | $360.42 | +8.7% | +1.0% | +5.0% |
| Money Market SLI | 1.213 | $120.32 | -0.1% | +0.3% | +2.0% |
| Global Asset Allocation Fidelity | 22.641 | $220.08 | +0.1% | +2.0% | |
| ING Streetwise Balanced Growth | 150.907 | $1350.61 | +26.8% | +43.4% | +4.0% |
| Cash | $179.55 | ||||
| Total | $18342.31 | +4.2% | -1.0% | +6.0% |
Dividend & Pension Payouts with current holdings
| Currency | Total |
| Can$ | $688.50 |
| US$ | $79.10 |
| Pension | $2181.96 |
Total Annual Payout Estimate: $2870.46 Can/$79.10 US
Methanex reported a 3rd quarter loss of .01 per share. Not terribly surprising given the shut ins they experienced and demand, which has been increasing. Given their plans over the next few months and the tremendous amount of cash they have on hand, it was slightly worse than expected, but not surprising. Full details here.
Capital Power's 3rd quarter was in line with expectations, and the full details are here. I think the stock is undervalued right now, and with those results, I'll likely add more to my holdings next week. I'd avoided the IPO because it was, in my opinion, overpriced, but I've been comfortable buying in at the $20-$21 dollar range. It's now just under $20, which is still a range I'm comfortable with. In fact, I think I'd still be willing to buy if it were to hit $22 at this stage.
So while the market is taking a thrashing right now, I'm more inclined to view it as a buying opportunity.
